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Subject: Fed accused of ‘inflaming’ markets as concern grows over splits on rate rise Market concerns are rising over divisions at the top of the Federal…
Excerpt: English text from the archived bilingual edition · Chinese edition
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Fed accused of ‘inflaming’ markets as concern grows over splits on rate rise Market concerns are rising over divisions at the top of the Federal Reserve on when to lift interest rates, casting fresh uncertainty over the US central bank’s strategy for withdrawing its monetary stimulus
The divisions burst into the open this week when two Fed board members -signalled that they oppose a near-term increase in interest rates, questioning the approach adopted by chair Janet Yellen amid divisions over the outlook for inflation
Larry Fink, chief executive of BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, warned yesterday that uncertainty was leading to heightened volatility
“Some of the official authorities are guilty of, instead of being a calming influence, through their mixed messages, inflaming the markets,” he said. “
A disappointing US retail sales report, showing headline sales rose just 0.1 per cent in August, further damped traders’ expectations of an early rate rise
Fed board member Daniel Tarullo said in a CNBC interview on Tuesday that his expectation was that it was not appropriate to raise rates this year, joining fellow governor Lael Brainard in a wait-and-see posture
Roberto Perli of Cornerstone Macro said differences between regional Fed presidents were not uncommon. “The novelty here is that both Tarullo and Brainard are members of the Fed’s board of governors and as such supposedly close to Yellen,” he said. Cornerstone Macro
Both policymakers appeared to raise doubts about an assumption underpinning Ms Yellen’s policymaking approach — namely that, as the US approaches full employment, inflation will accelerate
Mr Perli said: “The fact that they essentially called into question Yellen’s speech where she made the case for -lift-off this year is remarkable and plunges Fed communication back into confusion.”
Ryan Sweet, Moody’s senior economist, said the “discordant” rhetoric was significant. “Yellen has time to forge a consensus but airing the officials’ -disagreements publicly can have unintended consequences.”
Interest rate futures now imply that investors see an even chance that the Fed, having left rates unchanged at its September meeting, will hold rates until March, according to Bloomberg data. Few expect a move at this month’s meeting but the position at the Fed’s December gathering is harder to predict

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